If the NRM machinery does not rig the Presidential Elections in February 2016, chances are that NO candidate will get 50% of the vote in the 1st run.
If candidate Museveni dreams that he is not having challenge, he is living in the past and out of reality.
In the 2nd run, assuming Museveni happens to be one of the leading contender, chances that he wins the election will only be there if the vote is rigged, otherwise, the reading on the wall is for his exist.
No miracle can be expected but rigging may be the only option to have him 'victorious'.
Opinion polls that put Museveni's victory at 79% do not make any given the reality on th ground and should be dismissed.